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From Open Internet Hero to Walled Garden Villain: Is The Trade Desk the New Google?

The Trade Desk is doing a masterclass in the fine art of playing dumb, denying they’re building a TV OS like a kid with crumbs all over his face denying he touched the cookie jar. But insiders—and I’m talking the ones who actually know a thing or two—say otherwise. TTD has been secretly crafting their own smart TV OS since 2019, calling it “Project Bridgewater,” and teaming up with none other than Sonos to make this dream a reality.

Now, you might wonder why Sonos, the company famous for its high-end speakers, is jumping into bed with TTD on this grand TV venture instead of going all-in on its own OS. The answer is simple: building a smart TV OS is like trying to assemble a jet engine out of Legos. It’s not just a technical minefield; it’s a political one, too. You need to schmooze your way into the hearts of streaming giants like Netflix and Disney+. As Erez Levin, Media Futurist, points out, “Netflix won’t even talk to device makers if they can’t convincingly make the case that they’re able to ship a certain number of units.”

Smaller TV makers, lacking the firepower to cut these deals, usually sidle up to Google, Amazon, or Roku to license their established platforms. It’s a bit like borrowing your big brother’s tuxedo for prom; it fits, but it’s not really yours. However, this dance comes with strings attached—strict licensing terms that can make a Sonos device look more like a distant cousin of an Amazon Fire TV stick than a distinctive Sonos gadget. And don’t forget, Sonos is still in a slap-fight with Google over patent infringement. Partnering with those guys would be like asking your archenemy to design your wedding cake.

The Trade Desk swoops in like the new kid on the block who somehow knows everyone’s secrets. They’re not weighed down by the baggage of hardware; they don’t care if your TV has a curved screen or can tell the difference between your voice and your dog’s bark. They’re happy to let Sonos have a field day with the user interface, slap their own sleek branding all over it, and design a remote that doesn’t look like it came out of the 1990s. And why not? TTD is making it rain with juicy revenue-sharing terms that put the standard offerings from Google, Amazon, and Roku to shame. As Matthew Keys points out, TTD may be denying they’re building an OS to take on Roku, but this denial has all the authenticity of a reality TV star’s apology tour—everyone knows what’s really going on.

But let’s talk about what TTD really wants—data. Not just any data, but all the data. We’re talking digital black gold. According to Lynne Johnson of AdMonsters, “A unified consumer profile is the holy grail of targeting,” and TTD is on a crusade to snatch that holy grail right out from under the industry’s nose. In a world where cookies are crumbling faster than a stale biscotti and mobile IDs are evaporating like ice in July, owning the OS is like controlling the sole watering hole in a desert. It’s their chance to siphon off every single drop of first-party data, from what shows you’re binge-watching on a Tuesday night to the items you’ve been eyeing in your virtual shopping cart. By threading all this data through their Unified ID 2.0, TTD is creating a digital panopticon where they see all, know all, and track all.

And it doesn’t stop there. TTD isn’t just setting up shop—they’re planning to build the whole damn mall. Imagine Google’s DoubleClick, but for CTV, with TTD acting as the toll booth operator, gatekeeper, and traffic cop all rolled into one. The strategy is pretty clear: offer better economics and a platform with integrated content management (think Wurl or Amagi), slap on an identity and authentication layer (like UID2/OpenPass), and stack it all up with a fully loaded ad tech infrastructure. They’re crafting a kingdom where they can set the rules, collect the taxes, and make sure everyone plays nicely—or not at all. It’s a blueprint straight from the Silicon Valley Machiavelli handbook.

But wait, there’s more. TTD isn’t just setting up an OS—they’re creating a closed ecosystem that feels suspiciously like the one Google built in the open web. Their strategy is to become the new sheriff in town, crafting a full-stack solution akin to DoubleClick, where they control everything from content to data to pricing. Julian Savitch-Lee, a CTV and programmatic advertising specialist, notes, “TTD can drive a comparative Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) to existing reported TV OS Vendors.” In other words, they’re looking to replicate the same kind of dominance that has made Google the overlord of online advertising.

As Lynne Johnson points out, The Trade Desk’s ambitions for a unified ecosystem could give it a massive advantage in the shifting landscape of digital advertising. “Retail media provides crucial data for advertisers in a world where third-party cookies are phasing out,” she says. Combine that with insights from Connected TV (CTV) viewing habits, and you’ve got a data goldmine. It’s like placing a surveillance camera in every consumer’s living room while keeping a receipt printer in their pocket. With this kind of comprehensive view of the consumer journey, The Trade Desk (TTD) is positioning itself to become the ultimate gatekeeper.

This isn’t just about controlling ad delivery; it’s about TTD morphing into the middleman who owns the entire supply chain. If they succeed, they’ll have their hands on all the levers: first-party data, control over ad inventory, and the power to dictate the rules of engagement. It’s like taking the open internet, wrapping it in a velvet rope, and charging a cover fee to get in. This strategy is eerily reminiscent of Google’s playbook with DoubleClick, where they turned their dominance in display advertising into a fortress. Only now, TTD is eyeing CTV to replicate this closed-loop ecosystem, much like an aggressive real estate developer eyeing an untouched neighborhood.

The Trade Desk’s motivations for jumping into the TV OS game are clear—control and data. As ad identifiers like cookies and device IDs become endangered species, owning a TV operating system gives TTD the upper hand to embed their own Unified ID 2.0 directly into the hardware. This strategy would not only protect them from future disruptions but also ensure they have uninterrupted access to identity signals for ad targeting. It’s a clever move to avoid the fate that befell other platforms when Apple and Google started tightening their privacy controls. By owning the platform, TTD can dictate the rules of data access, keeping itself in the driver’s seat.

But that’s not the only trick up TTD’s sleeve. By integrating their OS directly into OEM hardware, TTD could access automatic content recognition (ACR) data, which tracks what’s playing on a TV screen. ACR data has become a powerful tool for advertisers looking to tie ad exposure to consumer behavior more accurately. If TTD can control this data pipeline, they can not only offer more targeted advertising but also open up new revenue streams by licensing this data. It’s like having a VIP pass to all the best data parties while charging others to get in.

Owning the OS also allows The Trade Desk to shorten the supply chain between their demand-side platform (DSP) and the inventory sources. In today’s fragmented ad ecosystem, ads often hop through several intermediaries before landing on a viewer’s screen, adding costs, delays, and potential data manipulation. By reducing these hops, TTD can cut out the middlemen, decrease latency, and ensure more of the ad dollars stay in their pockets. This would be especially advantageous as programmatic ad buying continues to grow in live events, where milliseconds count.

And let’s not forget the potential to play both sides. By requiring a share of the inventory, much like other CTV platforms, TTD could earn revenue from both supply and demand. This would not only increase their market share but also reduce the dominance of existing giants like Roku, Amazon, and Google, who currently enjoy the lion’s share of CTV ad revenues. If The Trade Desk can convince publishers to jump on their platform with lower revenue shares initially, they could lock in an exclusive premium supply pool, tightening their grip on the market further.

In essence, The Trade Desk isn’t just building a TV OS; they’re orchestrating a grand coup to reshape the digital advertising landscape. It’s a high-stakes game where they’re holding all the cards, setting the rules, and positioning themselves as the indispensable link between advertisers, publishers, and consumers. Advertisers may be enticed by the promise of seamless, cross-platform targeting, but they’d better keep one eye open—because while they’re busy counting their short-term wins, TTD is busy building the next walled garden, one brick at a time.

Pesach Lattin
Pesach Lattinhttp://www.adotat.com
Pesach "Pace" Lattin is one of the top experts in interactive advertising, affiliate marketing. Pesach Lattin is known for his dedication to ethics in marketing, and focus on compliance and fraud in the industry, and has written numerous articles for publications from MediaPost, ClickZ, ADOTAS and his own blogs.

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